The Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing

Journal of Human Development

Vol. 5, No. 1, March 2004

Countries

MICHAEL L. FAYE, JOHN W. MCARTHUR, JEFFREY D. SACHS and

THOMAS SNOW

Michael Faye is a Research Analyst at the Millennium Project;

John McArthur is the Manager of the Millennium Project and serves

concurrently as Associate Director at the Earth Institute at Columbia

University;

Jeffrey Sachs is the Director of the Millennium Project, Director of the Earth

Institute, Quetelet Professor of Sustainable Development, and Professor of

Health Policy and Management at Columbia University and

Thomas Snow served as Research Associate at the Earth Institute at

Columbia University

Abstract In spite of technological improvements in transport, landlocked

developing countries continue to face structural challenges to accessing

world markets. As a result, landlocked countries often lag behind their

maritime neighbours in overall development and external trade. While the

relatively poor performance of many landlocked countries can be attributed

to distance from coast, this paper argues that several aspects of dependence

on transit neighbours are also important. Four such types of dependence are

discussed: dependence on neighbours’ infrastructure; dependence on sound

cross-border political relations; dependence on neighbours’ peace and

stability; and dependence on neighbours’ administrative practices. These

factors combine to yield different sets of challenges and priorities in each

landlocked country. The paper concludes with a brief set of policy

recommendations. A detailed appendix presents maps and regional

overviews that outline key challenges facing the landlocked countries in

each region.

Key words: Globalization, Landlocked countries, Geography, Transit,

Transport, Conflict, Markets, Economy

Introduction

In 1776, Adam Smith observed that the inland parts of Africa and Asia were

the least economically developed areas of the world. Two hundred and

twenty-six years later, the Human Development Report 2002 still painted a

stark picture for most of the world’s landlocked countries. Nine of the twelve

ISSN 1464-9888 print/ISSN1469-9516 online/04/010031-38 © 2004 United Nations Development Programme

DOI: 10.1080/14649880310001660201

M. L. Faye et al.

countries with the lowest Human Development Index scores are landlocked,

thirteen landlocked countries are classified as ‘low human development’and

not one of the non-European landlocked countries is classified as ‘high

human development’(UNDP, 2002).

1

Why do landlocked developing countries face such persistent

challenges? Smith argued that, due to the difficulty of trade, geographically

remote areas have difficulty realizing gains to specialization and associated

benefits. He based his analysis on the difficulty of land transportation over

great distances —a problem that, despite huge technological advances,

remains today. High transportation costs typically place landlocked countries

at a distinct disadvantage relative to their coastal neighbours when competing

in global markets.

Distance alone, however, cannot explain why landlocked countries are

at a disadvantage compared with equally remote, inland regions of large

countries. For instance, some regions of China, India and Russia lie further

from the coast than many landlocked countries like Azerbaijan and Moldova.

While these inland subnational regions indeed face great distance-based cost

disadvantages relative to their maritime counterparts, they do not have to

face the challenges of border crossing that Smith also identified.

The commerce besides which any nation can carry on by means of

a river which does not break itself into any great number of

branches or canals, and which runs into another territory before it

reaches the sea, can never be very considerable; because it is

always in the power of the nations who possess that other territory

to obstruct the communication between the upper country and

the sea. (Smith, 1976, I.3.8)

Landlocked countries not only face the challenge of distance, but also

the challenges that result from a dependence on passage through a sovereign

transit country, one through which trade from a landlocked country must

pass in order to access international shipping markets. While rivers were a

more common form of trade transit in Smith’s time, the principle of

dependence on neighbours applies equally to the more modern transport

modes of roads and railways. Such dependence can take several forms, many

of which are less deliberate than the power politics suggested by Smith.

This paper describes the key ways in which landlocked developing

countries face structural challenges to accessing global markets.

2

After first

outlining the relatively low development levels in landlocked developing

countries, we outline the various forms of transit dependence and discuss

ways in which they interact to inhibit the landlocked countries’economic

development. Recognizing that these factors combine to affect specific

countries and regions differently, we highlight the places most and least

affected by each aspect of landlockedness. A series of policy implications is

then briefly proposed. A detailed appendix presents regional overviews

(including maps) that outline the key challenges facing the landlocked

countries in each region.

32

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

Landlocked countries’ indicators of development

Landlocked countries very often achieve lower average development levels

than their maritime neighbours. This can be demonstrated by looking at the

Human Development Index (HDI), trade costs, and per-capita export levels.

Human development

The relative state of human development in landlocked countries is presented

in Table 1 and Map 1, where the landlocked countries are shaded. A brief

examination of the table shows that landlocked countries are distributed

across the table but concentrated towards the bottom. As stated earlier, nine

of the twelve countries with the lowest human development are landlocked.

Overall, the landlocked countries do worse than their maritime neigh-

bours in each component of the HDI. The average Gross Domestic Product

(GDP) per capita of landlocked countries is approximately 57% that of their

maritime neighbours. Life expectancy index scores are 0.3 lower on average,

equivalent to 3.5 years, and education index scores are 0.36 lower. Progress

in many landlocked developing countries has also been slow. In the Human

Development Report 2003, twenty out of twenty-seven landlocked countries

with adequate data are considered ‘top priority’or ‘high priority’due to

their lack of progress towards the internationally agreed-upon Millennium

Development Goals. (UNDP 2003)

MAP 1. HDI rankings of developing landlocked countries. Source: Human Development Report 2002.

Note: No data available for Afghanistan.

33

M. L. Faye et al.

TABLE 1. Human development —rankings and components

HDI Components

GDP per Life

HDI rank Country HDI capita Expectancy Education

Medium human development

54 Mexico 0.80 9 023 0.79 0.84

55 Cuba 0.80 —0.85 0.90

56 Belarus 0.80 7 544 0.73 0.92

57 Panama 0.79 6 000 0.82 0.86

58 Belize 0.78 5 606 0.82 0.86

59 Malaysia 0.78 9 068 0.79 0.80

60 Russian Federation 0.78 8 377 0.68 0.92

61 Dominica 0.78 5 880 0.80 0.86

62 Bulgaria 0.78 5 710 0.76 0.90

63 Romania 0.78 6 423 0.75 0.88

64 Libya 0.77 7 570 0.76 0.84

65 Macedonia 0.77 5 086 0.80 0.86

66 Saint Lucia 0.77 5 703 0.81 0.83

67 Mauritius 0.77 10 017 0.77 0.77

68 Colombia 0.77 6 248 0.77 0.85

69 Venezuela 0.77 5 794 0.80 0.83

70 Thailand 0.76 6 402 0.75 0.84

71 Saudi Arabia 0.76 11 367 0.78 0.71

72 Fiji 0.76 4 668 0.73 0.90

73 Brazil 0.76 7 625 0.71 0.83

74 Suriname 0.76 3 799 0.76 0.90

75 Lebanon 0.76 4 308 0.80 0.83

76 Armenia 0.75 2 559 0.80 0.92

77 Philippines 0.75 3 971 0.74 0.91

78 Oman 0.75 13 356 0.77 0.67

79 Kazakhstan 0.75 5 870 0.66 0.91

80 Ukraine 0.75 3 816 0.72 0.92

81 Georgia 0.75 2 664 0.80 0.89

82 Peru 0.75 4 799 0.73 0.87

83 Grenada 0.75 7 580 0.67 0.85

84 Maldives 0.74 4 485 0.69 0.90

85 Turkey 0.74 6 974 0.75 0.77

86 Jamaica 0.74 3 639 0.84 0.79

87 Turkmenistan 0.74 3 936 0.78 0.88

88 Azerbaijan 0.74 2 936 0.78 0.88

89 Sri Lanka 0.74 3 530 0.79 0.84

90 Paraguay 0.74 4 426 0.75 0.83

91 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 0.73 5 555 0.74 0.79

92 Albania 0.73 3 506 0.80 0.80

93 Ecuador 0.73 3 203 0.75 0.87

94 Dominican Republic 0.73 6 033 0.70 0.80

95 Uzbekistan 0.73 2 441 0.73 0.91

96 China 0.73 3 976 0.76 0.80

97 Tunisia 0.72 6 363 0.75 0.72

98 Iran, Islamic Republic of 0.72 5 884 0.73 0.75

99 Jordan 0.72 3 966 0.76 0.78

100 Cape Verde 0.72 4 863 0.75 0.75

101 Samoa (Western) 0.72 5 041 0.74 0.75

34

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

TABLE 1. Continued

HDI Components

GDP per Life

HDI rank Country HDI capita Expectantancy Education

102 Kyrgyzstan 0.71 2 711 0.71 0.87

103 Guyana 0.71 3 963 0.63 0.88

104 El Salvador 0.71 4 497 0.75 0.74

105 Moldova 0.70 2 109 0.69 0.90

106 Algeria 0.70 5 308 0.74 0.69

107 South Africa 0.70 9 401 0.45 0.80

108 Syrian Arab Republic 0.69 3 556 0.77 0.71

109 Viet Nam 0.69 1 996 0.72 0.84

110 Indonesia 0.68 3 043 0.69 0.79

111 Equatorial Guinea 0.68 15 073 0.43 0.77

112 Tajikistan 0.67 1 152 0.71 0.88

113 Mongolia 0.66 1 783 0.63 0.85

114 Bolivia 0.65 2 424 0.62 0.80

115 Egypt 0.64 3 635 0.70 0.62

116 Honduras 0.64 2 453 0.68 0.70

117 Gabon 0.64 6 237 0.46 0.76

118 Nicaragua 0.64 2 366 0.72 0.65

119 Sao Tome and Principe 0.63 1 792 0.67 0.75

120 Guatemala 0.63 3 821 0.66 0.75

121 Solomon Islands 0.62 1 648 0.72 0.68

122 Namibia 0.61 6 431 0.33 0.81

123 Morocco 0.60 3 546 0.71 0.50

124 India 0.58 2 358 0.64 0.57

125 Swaziland 0.58 4 492 0.32 0.77

126 Botswana 0.57 7 184 0.25 0.75

127 Myanmar 0.55 1 027 0.52 0.75

128 Zimbabwe 0.55 2 635 0.30 0.81

129 Ghana 0.55 1 964 0.53 0.62

130 Cambodia 0.54 1 445 0.52 0.66

131 Vanuatu 0.54 2 802 0.72 0.35

132 Lesotho 0.54 2 031 0.34 0.76

133 Papua New Guinea 0.54 2 280 0.53 0.55

134 Kenya 0.51 1 022 0.43 0.72

135 Cameroon 0.51 1 703 0.42 0.65

136 Congo 0.51 825 0.44 0.75

137 Comoros 0.51 1 588 0.58 0.49

Low human development

138 Pakistan 0.50 1 928 0.58 0.42

139 Sudan 0.50 1 797 0.52 0.50

140 Bhutan 0.49 1 412 0.62 0.42

141 Togo 0.49 1 442 0.45 0.59

142 Nepal 0.49 1 327 0.56 0.48

143 Laos 0.49 1 575 0.47 0.52

144 Yemen 0.48 893 0.59 0.48

145 Bangladesh 0.48 1 602 0.57 0.40

146 Haiti 0.47 1 467 0.46 0.50

147 Madagascar 0.47 840 0.46 0.59

148 Nigeria 0.46 896 0.44 0.58

35

M. L. Faye et al.

TABLE 1. Continued

HDI Components

GDP per Life

HDI rank Country HDI capita Expectantancy Education

149 Djibouti 0.45 2 377 0.30 0.50

150 Uganda 0.44 1 208 0.32 0.60

151 Tanzania 0.44 523 0.43 0.61

152 Mauritania 0.44 1 677 0.44 0.40

153 Zambia 0.43 780 0.27 0.68

154 Senegal 0.43 1 510 0.47 0.37155Congo DR

0.43 765 0.44 0.51

156 Co

ˆte d’Ivoire 0.43 1 630 0.38 0.44

157 Eritrea 0.42 837 0.45 0.46

158 Benin 0.42 990 0.48 0.40

159 Guinea 0.41 1 982 0.38 0.37

160 Gambia 0.41 1 649 0.35 0.39

161 Angola 0.40 2 187 0.34 0.36

162 Rwanda 0.40 943 0.25 0.58

163 Malawi 0.40 615 0.25 0.65

164 Mali 0.39 797 0.44 0.37

165 CAR 0.38 1 172 0.32 0.39

166 Chad 0.37 871 0.35 0.39

167 Guinea-Bissau 0.35 755 0.33 0.38

168 Ethiopia 0.33 668 0.31 0.35

169 Burkina Faso 0.33 976 0.36 0.23

170 Mozambique 0.32 854 0.24 0.37

171 Burundi 0.31 591 0.26 0.38

172 Niger 0.28 746 0.34 0.16

173 Sierra Leone 0.28 490 0.23 0.33

Average 0.61 3 636 0.60 0.69

Average over maritime 0.82 4 902 0.80 0.93

Average over landlocked 0.55 2 420 0.50 0.67

Source: Human Development Report 2002.

Note: No data available for Afghanistan

*Shading indicates landlocked countries

While Table 1 shows that many low HDI countries are landlocked, the

dispersion of these landlocked countries across the table makes it unclear

the extent to which landlockedness affects overall development. For instance,

the concentration of landlocked countries at the bottom of the table could

merely reflect the large number of landlocked countries in Sub-Saharan Africa

and other development challenges present in that region.

More information regarding the challenges of landlockedness is pre-

sented in Table 2, which lists the same human development indicators as

Table 1 but separates the countries by region. Table 2 shows that, despite

the global variation in landlocked countries’HDI scores, landlocked countries

generally have significantly lower levels of development than the maritime

countries of their region. In fact, not one landlocked country outside of

southern Africa has a higher level of human development than the average

36

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

TABLE 2. Human development —rankings and components by region

HDI Components

Life

HDI rank Country HDI GDP per capita Expectancy Education

Southern Africa107SouthAfrica

0.70 9 401 0.45 0.80

122 Namibia 0.61 6 431 0.33 0.81

125 Swaziland 0.58 4 492 0.32 0.77

126 Botswana 0.57 7 184 0.25 0.75

128 Zimbabwe 0.55 2 635 0.30 0.81

132 Lesotho 0.54 2 031 0.34 0.76

153 Zambia 0.43 780 0.27 0.68

161 Angola 0.40 2 187 0.34 0.36

163 Malawi 0.40 615 0.25 0.65

170 Mozambique 0.32 854 0.24 0.37

Average over maritime 0.51 5 211 0.32 0.63

Average over landlocked 0.51 2 111 0.30 0.73

Western Africa

111 Equatorial Guinea 0.68 15 073 0.43 0.77

117 Gabon 0.64 6 237 0.46 0.76

129 Ghana 0.55 1 964 0.53 0.62

135 Cameroon 0.51 1 703 0.42 0.65

136 Congo 0.51 825 0.44 0.75

141 Togo 0.49 1 442 0.45 0.59

148 Nigeria 0.46 896 0.44 0.58

152 Mauritania 0.44 1 677 0.44 0.40

154 Senegal 0.43 1 510 0.47 0.37

156 Co

ˆte d’Ivoire 0.43 1 630 0.38 0.44

158 Benin 0.42 990 0.48 0.40

159 Guinea 0.41 1 982 0.38 0.37

160 Gambia 0.41 1 649 0.35 0.39

164 Mali 0.39 797 0.44 0.37

165 CAR 0.38 1 172 0.32 0.39

166 Chad 0.37 871 0.35 0.39

167 Guinea-Bissau 0.35 755 0.33 0.38

169 Burkina Faso 0.33 976 0.36 0.23

172 Niger 0.28 746 0.34 0.16

173 Sierra Leone 0.28 490 0.23 0.33

Average over maritime 0.47 2588 0.42 0.52

Average over landlocked 0.35 912 0.36 0.31

Eastern Africa

134 Kenya 0.51 1 022 0.43 0.72

139 Sudan 0.50 1 797 0.52 0.50

149 Djibouti 0.45 2 377 0.30 0.50

150 Uganda 0.44 1 208 0.32 0.60

151 Tanzania 0.44 523 0.43 0.61

157 Eritrea 0.42 837 0.45 0.46

162 Rwanda 0.40 943 0.25 0.58

168 Ethiopia 0.33 668 0.31 0.35

171 Burundi 0.31 591 0.26 0.38

Average over maritime 0.46 1311 0.43 0.56

Average over landlocked 0.37 853 0.29 0.48

37

M. L. Faye et al.

TABLE 2. Continued

HDI Components

Life

HDI rank Country HDI GDP per capita Expectancy Education

South and Southeast Asia

70 Thailand 0.76 6 402 0.75 0.84

109 Viet Nam 0.69 1 996 0.72 0.84

124 India 0.58 2 358 0.64 0.57

127 Myanmar 0.55 1 027 0.52 0.75

130 Cambodia 0.54 1 445 0.52 0.66

140 Bhutan 0.49 1 412 0.62 0.42

142 Nepal 0.49 1 327 0.56 0.48

143 Laos 0.49 1 575 0.47 0.52

145 Bangladesh 0.48 1 602 0.57 0.40

Average over maritime 0.60 2 472 0.62 0.68

Average over landlocked 0.49 1 438 0.55 0.47

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

60 Russia 0.78 8 377 0.68 0.92

62 Bulgaria 0.78 5 710 0.76 0.90

63 Romania 0.78 6 423 0.75 0.88

76 Armenia 0.75 2 559 0.80 0.92

79 Kazakhstan 0.75 5 870 0.66 0.91

80 Ukraine 0.75 3 816 0.72 0.92

81 Georgia 0.75 2 664 0.80 0.89

85 Turkey 0.74 6 974 0.75 0.77

87 Turkmenistan 0.74 3 936 0.78 0.88

88 Azerbaijan 0.74 2 936 0.78 0.88

95 Uzbekistan 0.73 2 441 0.73 0.91

102 Kyrgyzstan 0.71 2 711 0.71 0.87

105 Moldova 0.70 2 109 0.69 0.90

112 Tajikistan 0.67 1 152 0.71 0.88

113 Mongolia 0.66 1 783 0.63 0.85

Afghanistan

Average over maritime 0.76 5 661 0.74 0.88

Average over landlocked 0.72 2 835 0.71 0.89

Latin America

34 Argentina 0.84 12 377 0.81 0.92

38 Chile 0.83 9 417 0.84 0.90

40 Uruguay 0.83 9 035 0.82 0.92

73 Brazil 0.76 7 625 0.71 0.83

82 Peru 0.75 4 799 0.73 0.87

90 Paraguay 0.74 4 426 0.75 0.83

114 Boliva 0.65 2 424 0.62 0.80

Average over maritime 0.80 8651 0.78 0.89

Average over landlocked 0.70 3425 0.89 0.82

Source: Human Development Report (2002).

*Shading indicates landlocked countries.

38

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

of its regional maritime countries. In contrast, the landlocked countries in

western Africa are doing the worst relative to their maritime neighbours.

3

The difference in the average HDI between the western African landlocked

and maritime countries is sizeable at 0.12 (0.35 versus 0.47). The landlocked

countries in Latin America and South East Asia are doing only slightly better

relative to their neighbours with a HDI difference of 0.11.

Of course, there is also variation among the landlocked countries in each

region. Figure 1 plots the HDI score of each landlocked country relative to the

average of its regional HDI, highlighting the different outcome distributions

within regions. For example, while there is great variation in southern Africa,

the former Soviet republics have relatively similar levels of HDI. In southern

Africa, the landlocked countries that border South Africa are performing

significantly better than those that do not. This underscores the potential

benefits of a relatively wealthy neighbour. The two countries that are the best

performers in the region, Swaziland and Botswana, are exceptional cases.

Botswana benefits enormously from its diamond trade, which utilizes air trans-

port and thus overcomes many possible burdens of landlockedness, and Swazi-

land benefits from its close location to ports in both Mozambique and South

Africa. Meanwhile, the variation in the east Africa region is particularly illumin-

ating. HDI levels decrease as one moves inland along the major transit route

through Kenya used by Burundi, Rwanda and Uganda.

FIGURE 1. Human Development Indicator: landlocked countries versus their regional neighbours.

39

M. L. Faye et al.

Trade costs

The landlocked countries’high average cost of trade is reflected in Table 3,

which presents the ratio of transport and insurance costs to the total value

of exports. In aggregate, this ratio is roughly 9% greater for landlocked

countries than for the maritime countries. For a majority of regions, the

average ratio for landlocked countries is nearly double that of the maritime

countries. The notable exceptions are Bhutan, Laos, and Swaziland. These

countries do not engage in significant volumes of transoceanic trade, instead

exporting overwhelmingly to their immediate neighbours, India, Thailand

and South Africa, respectively.

Exports

In line with their higher trade costs, landlocked countries on average export

less than one-half of the per-capita amount of their maritime neighbours, as

presented in Table 4. Nearly all landlocked countries export less per capita

than the average of the regional maritime countries. A regional breakdown

shows that the landlocked countries of western Africa are faring the worst

in relative terms, exporting only 12% of their maritime neighbours’value on

a per-capita basis. Meanwhile, the southern African landlocked countries

fare the best in relative terms, exporting nearly 70% of the per-capita value

of their maritime neighbours.

Variation within regions is presented in Figure 2, again as measured by

the ratio of a country’s exports per capita to the regional average. A

comparison of Figure 1 and Figure 2 shows that even fewer landlocked

countries outperform the regional average for exports per capita than was

the case for HDI. The three exceptions—(Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and

Swaziland)—are all extraordinary cases. Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan export

primarily oil and natural gas to their neighbours, and Swaziland has a

particularly open trade regime that links its economy closely with South

Africa.

4

Two other interesting observations can be drawn from this figure. First,

Uganda exports significantly more than the other eastern African landlocked

countries. As was the case with the HDI, the level of exports per capita

roughly corresponds to the distance inland on the major transit route.

Second, there is little variation in export levels in western Africa. All are

extremely low and reflect the severe political and infrastructural challenges

facing these countries.

Dimensions of landlockedness

Why are economic and human development indicators for landlocked coun-

tries generally so much worse than those for maritime neighbours? Much

can be attributed to the landlocked countries’dependence on other coun-

tries’transit routes for access to overseas markets. This dependence can take

at least four forms: (1) dependence on transit infrastructure; (2) dependence

on political relations with neighbours; (3) dependence on peace and stability

40

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

TABLE 3. Cost of trade —ratio of transportation and insurance to value of exports

Ratio of

transport

costs to value

Country of exports

Southern Africa

Swaziland 0.02

Angola 0.08

South Africa 0.08

Namibia 0.09

Lesotho 0.12

Zimbabwe 0.15

Botswana 0.16

Zambia 0.17

Mozambique 0.28

Malawi 0.55

Average over maritime 0.13

Average over landlocked 0.20

Western Africa

Nigeria 0.05

Sierra Leone 0.09

Cameroon 0.09

Cote d’Ivoire 0.11

Mauritania 0.12

Guinea 0.14

Gabon 0.15

Congo 0.17

Senegal 0.18

Ghana 0.18

Togo 0.21

Central African Republic 0.26

Burkina Faso 0.27

Niger 0.28

Guinea-Bissau 0.30

Mali 0.35

Benin 0.37

Chad 0.51

Liberia —

Equatorial Guinea —

Average over maritime 0.17

Average over landlocked 0.33

Eastern Africa

Kenya 0.13

Tanzania 0.18

Djibouti 0.21

Ethiopia 0.29

Sudan 0.29

Burundi 0.31

Uganda 0.35

Rwanda 0.51

Eritrea —

Somalia —

Average over maritime 0.20

Average over landlocked 0.36

Ratio of

transport

costs to value

Country of exports

South and Southeast Asia

Nepal 0.05

Laos 0.08

Thailand 0.08

Cambodia 0.11

India 0.13

Bangladesh 0.14

Myanmar —

Vietnam —

Bhutan —

Average over maritime 0.12

Average over landlocked 0.07

Eastern Europe and Central

Asia

Russia 0.00

Ukraine 0.02

Kazakhstan 0.04

Romania 0.05

Turkey 0.06

Azerbaijan 0.07

Georgia 0.08

Moldova 0.10

Bulgaria 0.11

Kyrgyzstan 0.13

Turkmenistan 0.15

Mongolia 0.16

Armenia 0.29

Afghanistan 0.35

Tajikistan —

Uzbekistan —

Average over maritime 0.05

Average over landlocked 0.16

Latin America

Brazil 0.08

Argentina 0.08

Uruguay 0.10

Peru 0.11

Chile 0.11

Paraguay 0.17

Bolivia 0.21

Average over maritime 0.10

Average over landlocked 0.19

Source: International Monetary Fund (2001); World Development Indicators (2002). Transport costs and

exports have been matched by year.

*Shading indicates landlocked countries.

41

M. L. Faye et al.

TABLE 4. Exports per capita (2000 current US$)

Exports per

Country capita

Southern Africa

Swaziland 927

South Africa 854

Angola 606

Zimbabwe 178

Lesotho 126

Zambia 88

Malawi 43

Mozambique 32

Botswana —

Namibia —

Average over maritime 498

Average over landlocked 272

Western Africa

Equatorial Guinea 2784

Gabon 1484

Congo, Republic 837

Cote d’Ivoire 268

Cameroon 183

Nigeria 169

Gambia, The 155

Mauritania 145

Senegal 140

Ghana 132

Tog o 96

Guinea 105

Tog o 96

Guinea-Bissau 57

Benin 53

Mali 53

Central African Republic 34

Chad 30

Niger 26

Sierra Leone 22

Burkina Faso 21

Liberia —

Average over maritime 442

Average over landlocked 33

Eastern Africa

Djibouti 390

Kenya 91

Sudan 62

Tanzania 39

Uganda 28

Eritrea 23

Rwanda 18

Ethiopia 15

Burundi 9

Somalia —

Average over maritime 121

Average over landlocked 18

Exports per

Country capita

South and Southeast Asia

Thailand 1349

Bhutan 179

Cambodia 106

India 63

Nepal 57

Bangladesh 50

Laos —

Myanmar —

Viet Nam —

Average over maritime 392

Average over landlocked 118

Eastern Europe and Central

Asia

Bulgaria 859

Russian Federation 791

Turkey 746

Kazakhstan 722

Romania 557

Turkmenistan 534

Ukraine 394

Azerbaijan 266

Mongolia 265

Georgia 226

Moldova 150

Uzbekistan 137

Tajikistan 130

Armenia 117

Kyrgyz Republic 115

Afghanistan —

Average over maritime 596

Average over landlocked 271

Latin America

Chile 1477.1

Uruguay 1140.4

Argentina 829.8

Brazil 380.0

Peru 333.0

Paraguay 277.5

Bolivia 174.5

Average over maritime 832

Average over landlocked 226

Source:World Development Indicators (2002).

*Shading indicates landlocked countries.

42

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

FIGURE 2. Exports per capita: landlocked countries versus their regional neighbours.

within transit neighbours; and (4) dependence on administrative processes

in transit.

The relative impact of these challenges varies greatly by country. It is

therefore essential to consider how each aspect interacts with a country’s

economic structure in order to understand how landlockedness is affecting

the country’s development processes. To this end, we now highlight some

of the worst and least affected countries for each aspect of landlockedness.

Dependence upon infrastructure of transit countries

Landlocked countries are completely dependent on their transit neighbours’

infrastructure to transport their goods to port. This infrastructure can be

43

M. L. Faye et al.

weak for many reasons, including lack of resources, mis-governance, conflict

and natural disasters. Regardless of the cause, weak infrastructure imposes

direct costs on trade passing through a transit country and thus limits the

ability of landlocked country products to compete in global markets. The

relative impact of weak surrounding infrastructure is particularly severe

for the least developed landlocked countries that mainly export primary

commodities with low value to cost ratios rather than high value products

or services. Weak transit infrastructure also limits the return to investment

on landlocked countries’internal infrastructure, since market opportunities

are constrained.

Worst affected areas. The challenges confronted by poor transit infra-

structure are perhaps most acute in eastern Africa. Burundi, for example,

boasts a relatively good internal road network but is severely constrained by

the surrounding infrastructure of its transit neighbours. The most direct

route to the sea from Burundi is through Tanzania to Dar es Salaam along

what is known as the Central Corridor, but infrastructure levels on this route

are so poor that Burundi’s primary transit route still follows the more distant

path to Mombasa, known as the Northern Corridor. When the latter was

closed due to political reasons in the 1990s, an alternative transit route to

Durban via Mpulungu on Lake Tanganyika was investigated, and used. The

fact that this route was even considered, at a total distance of nearly 4500

km with several border crossings and modal changes, highlights the severity

of the transit challenges faced by Burundi, one of the world’s poorest

countries.

Similar transit neighbour infrastructure problems exist for western

African landlocked countries. The Central African Republic, for example,

does not have a dependable all-weather route to the sea. Its corridor through

Cameroon is often impassable during the rainy season, owing to the poor

condition of Cameroonian roads. Its only other corridor, through the Demo-

cratic Republic of Congo (DRC), travels on the Oubangui River, which is

impassable during the dry season due to low water levels. This corridor is

also currently impassable due to the ongoing crisis in the DRC.

Least affected areas. Countries exporting goods and services that do not

require land transport are least susceptible to transit infrastructure concerns.

In the case of Botswana, the economy’s heavy dependence on diamonds,

which account for 84% of the total export value, allows the country to

bypass transit neighbour infrastructure by utilizing air transport. The high

value/weight and value/volume ratios for diamonds make this possible, since

air transport has a high cost/volume ratio. Bolivia has also had moderate

success in bypassing its neighbours’transit network by trying to capitalize

on its central geographic location to become the South American fibre-

optics hub. Modern technological advancements and the development of

telecommunications have expanded such opportunities for landlocked coun-

tries to develop industries less affected by transport costs.

Some landlocked countries benefit from relatively high-quality surround-

44

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

ing transport infrastructure. This is the case for the landlocked countries of

south and southeast Asia and South America, even though they have often

been unable to take advantage of the neighbours’transit systems due to

weak domestic networks. Laos, for example, still has a limited internal

transport network and borders Thailand’s modern infrastructure facilities.

This example is particularly interesting as Thailand’s transport system is

characterized by four-lane highways, while transport within Laos is mainly

limited to single-carriage highways. The Thai government has also recently

extended its rail line to the Laotian border. The rail line, however, does not

continue the short distance to the Laotian capital, Vientiane, since Laos does

not have a domestic rail system.

Political relationship between landlocked and transit countries

Landlocked countries depend on strong political relations with transit coun-

tries. If a landlocked country and its transit neighbour are in conflict, either

military or diplomatic, the transit neighbour can easily block borders or

adopt regulatory impediments to trade. Even when there is no direct conflict,

landlocked countries are extremely vulnerable to the political vagaries of

their neighbours. Although there is a legal basis for rights of landlocked

transit as outlined in Article 125(1) of the United Nations Convention on the

Law of the Sea (United Nations, 1982), in practice, this right of access must

be agreed upon with the transit neighbour (Article 125(2) and (3))

5

and is

determined by the relationship between the countries.

Worst affected areas The landlocked countries of the South Caucasus and

Central Asia have been acutely affected by cross-border disputes. After the

dissolution of the Soviet Union, the former republics were divided according

to previous administrative boundaries. These boundaries have been the

source of many disputes. As a result, borders are regularly defended with

landmines and physical blockades. The ongoing tensions have also resulted

in the general failure of regional cooperation. Uzbekistan has been particularly

affected by such challenges as it suffers from strained relations with four of

its five neighbours: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan.

Uzbekistan’s other neighbour, Afghanistan, suffers from extremely weak infra-

structure. In the South Caucasus, fighting between the two landlocked coun-

tries, Armenia and Azerbaijan, has not only closed the Armenia-Azerbaijan

border, but has also led to the closure of the Armenia–Turkey border. Armen-

ia’s only alternative transit routes, through Georgia and Iran, are restricted by

mountainous terrain and relatively weak infrastructure (Tavitan, 2001).

Ethiopia has also suffered immensely from conflict with its transit

neighbour, Eritrea. War between the two countries restricted Ethiopia’s

access to the Eritrean port of Assab where three-quarters of Ethiopian trade

(75%) passed through duty-free until 1997. There has now been a major shift

of Ethiopia’s trading routes, away from Assab to the port of Djibouti, which

now handles the large majority of Ethiopian trade. The Djibouti corridor,

45

M. L. Faye et al.

however, is hampered by a poorly functioning railroad and limited port

facilities.

Relations with neighbouring countries need not be in violent conflict

to severely hamper a landlocked country’s economy. For example, India,

Nepal’s sole transit neighbour, blockaded the border between the two

countries in 1990, an action cited as a major cause of the overthrow of

the Nepalese panchayat government (Economist Intelligence Unit, 2002).

6

Moreover, between 2001 and 2002, India instituted significant trade restric-

tions on Nepal during the negotiation of a bilateral trade agreement. These

restrictions were alleged to have been instituted to extract concessions in

negotiations. In Bolivia, the effects of weakened international relations are

also apparent. Long-standing tensions with neighbouring Chile, which go

back to the war of 1878–1883 when Bolivia lost control of the coastal

province of Atacama, have recently delayed the export of newfound gas

reserves as the Bolivian people protest the use of Chilean ports.

Least affected areas While nearly all landlocked countries have at some

point experienced tensions with their maritime neighbours, southern African

countries have witnessed this less frequently. The landlocked countries of

southern Africa have also benefited from relatively strong attempts at regional

cooperation. Such cooperation has led to the development of the Southern

African Transport and Communications Commission, which is intended to

integrate transport policy, provide freedom of transit, and strengthen regional

infrastructure. Meanwhile, in eastern Africa, the re-introduction of the East

African Community aims to strengthen already improving relations. One of

the first areas of cooperation agreed upon was the transport infrastructure

linking the nations. Key international corridors have already been identified

for priority development.

Vulnerability to civil conflict within transit countries

Even when relations with transit neighbours are good and the core transit

infrastructure is sound, a landlocked country still must rely on peace and

stability within the transit country. When transit countries suffer from civil

war, transit routes can be damaged or closed, which often requires a

rerouting of major trade corridors or, in the worst case, a stoppage of transit.

Worst affected areas The landlocked countries of western Africa have been

particularly affected by neighbours’internal conflicts. Mali, for example,

has recently been recognized for its political stability and commitment to

democracy, but has suffered tremendously from conflict and instability in its

neighbours. Each of Mali’s coastal neighbours has experienced some form

of violent civil conflict in the past decade, often making transport routes

unusable. Togo was devastated by violent political protests and deep internal

conflict in the early 1990s. Algeria was involved in a bloody civil war for

much of the same decade. Ghana suffered from ethnic violence primarily

between 1993 and 1994. Sierra Leone’s decade-long civil war has just recently

46

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

come to a tenuous settlement. Guinea has been stricken by a series of coups

and rebel wars. Liberia has spent most of the decade in violent civil

wars that have threatened to spill over into neighbouring countries, thus

jeopardizing regional stability even further. Finally, and most importantly for

Mali, Cote d’Ivoire has recently fallen into a devastating political crisis, with

severe effects on Mali’s primary corridor to the sea.

The landlocked countries of southern Africa, most notably Malawi,

have suffered significantly from the surrounding civil wars in Mozambique,

Namibia and Angola. As a result, much of the Southern African Development

Community’s (SADC) trade has been forced to use longer north–south

corridors, largely relying upon the port of Durban in South Africa. During

the Mozambican civil war, Malawi was forced to reroute its freight, 95% of

which normally passed through the ports of Beira and Nacala, to the much

more distant ports of Durban and Dar es Salaam. It is estimated that the

average surface costs to these ports are more than double those to Nacala

and Beira via the traditional rail routes. The average transit times to Durban

(7 days) and Dar es Salaam (6 days) are also nearly double that to Nacala (4

days) and Beira (3 days) (World Bank, 1995). The rerouting is estimated to

have cost Malawi an additional US$50–80 million (4–6% of the GDP) per

year, with insurance and freight costs doubling from 20% of the import bill

in the early 1980s to 40% by the latter half of the decade (World Bank,

1995). While the corridors to Beira and Nacala have recently been reopened,

infrastructure damage from the war has thus far limited their use.

Civil conflict has also been a significant impediment in central Asia and

the South Caucasus, where the dissolution of the Soviet Union has led to

several internal conflicts. The Georgian civil wars of the 1990s have had

dramatic effects on the region by severely hampering the vital corridor link

across the Caspian Sea. These wars not only required that trade be rerouted

during the war, but also destroyed much of the internal infrastructure

and significantly weakened the port of Poti, which is only now being

rehabilitated.

Least affected areas Few developing landlocked countries have been

unaffected by civil conflicts in neighbouring countries. Bolivia and Paraguay

have perhaps been least affected in this regard —their borders have not

been closed due to a civil conflict in their neighbours. The countries of

South and South-eastern Asia have been similarly fortunate.

High administrative burden due to transit

Landlocked countries are also subject to the administrative burdens associ-

ated with border crossings, with these often adding the greatest amount to

shipping costs. To transit a country, there are a host of direct transit and

customs charges

7

, some of which must be paid upfront and some en route.

The direct costs, however, form only a small part of the picture. International

transit also requires burdensome paperwork and bureaucratic procedures

that are costly to deal with and place a high administrative burden on

47

M. L. Faye et al.

shippers. Border crossings also cause long delays on transit traffic. It is

regularly noted that the time delays and the variability of time in transit are

a greater concern to traders than direct costs, as they hinder the ability to

meet delivery contracts without large inventory stocks.

Worst affected areas While there is little direct cross-country evidence on

the fees and administrative burdens facing importers and exporters, these

costs are most regularly cited in reports on western Africa. These costs are

also often cited for eastern Africa, where they are estimated at as much as

20% of the direct freight costs (Anyango, 1997). Where it is necessary to

cross more than one border, such as the route from Burundi through Rwanda,

Uganda and Kenya, one must often pay these fees at several borders.

In addition to direct administrative costs, delays are also a serious

concern in many parts of Africa. Customs procedures at the Central African

Republic–Cameroon border can take as long as 2 weeks, with goods often

waiting at the border for the requisite information to be sent from Bangui

(Evlo, 1995).

8

The full journey between the port of Doala and Bangui

generally takes from 3 weeks to 1 month. An average rail freight trip between

Kampala (Uganda) and Mombasa (Kenya), which is a route used by Uganda,

Rwanda and Burundi, is reported to take anywhere between 14 and 21 days

on average (Freight, 2000). The unreliability of the rail arrivals often make it

impossible to book ships ahead of time at the port of Mombasa, causing

further delays. Delays at the port of Abidjan, used by Burkina Faso, have

been reported to often take up to 10 days (Evlo, 1995). Waits at the port of

Douala, used by the Central African Republic and Chad, have been known

to extend to 30 days.

9

In addition, the two main transit routes for Burkina

Faso have customs escorts only three times a week so there are often

significant delays in waiting for an escort (UNCTAD, 1999b).

10

Although such delays have varied causes, many stem from a lack of

coordination between the landlocked and transit countries. In Burkina Faso,

for example, there exists a special anti-competitive provision to protect

Burkinabe truck companies, reserving two-thirds of transit freight for carriage

by Burkinabe trucks. Thus, there are often goods at maritime ports waiting

for the arrival of vehicles from landlocked countries despite the presence at

the port of vehicles from maritime countries that would be willing to

transport the goods inland (UNCTAD, 1999b).

While the absolute levels of fees and administrative burdens are not as

high in central Asia as in Africa, the burdens are increasing in this region,

largely due to the souring of cross-border relations. During the Soviet era,

transport across the neighbouring countries of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan,

Tajikistan and Uzbekistan was largely free of administrative burdens. A 72-

hour visa-free system was introduced in the late 1990s to allow transit

through countries without the need for a visa, but it is no longer in effect

due to poor and worsening relations between countries in the region (Dion,

2000; Mayhew, 2002).

11

Corruption has also imposed significant costs on

trade in central Asia and the South Caucasus.

48

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

Least affected areas The most notable exception to the administrative

burdens of transit is found in Bhutan. All Bhutanese transit trade through

India is handled by Bhutan’s own customs agency. Hence, administratively

Bhutan can trade as if it were not landlocked. This is largely a result of strong

Bhutanese–Indian relations and the minimal amount of Bhutanese transit

trade.

In other instances, efforts to reduce administrative charges and delays

have taken place at the regional level. The countries of SADC and the

Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA), for example,

have introduced common licenses and third-party insurance guarantees

across countries, significantly reducing transit costs (see more details in the

Appendix). Similar efforts are being made in South America through the

regional trade institutions to simplify transit procedures.

Summary measures of landlockedness

To summarize some of the different aspects of landlockedness, Table 5

presents some quantitative measures across countries, highlighting indicators

both for landlocked countries themselves and for the same countries’

respective transit neighbours. Administrative challenges are not included in

this table due to a lack of comparable data. With the exception of distance

to the nearest port, the other variables have been normalized to a 0–1 scale

to facilitate comparison across countries.

Policy implications

To address the challenges that limit landlocked countries’potential gains

from trade and hence limit the resource base for investing in human

development, several key policy priorities can be stressed.

First, landlocked developing countries need to place particular emphasis

on developing their internal transportation infrastructure. Trade is signifi-

cantly affected by transportation costs, so investments in railways and

roads —both construction and maintenance —are crucial for keeping these

costs down.

Second, regional infrastructure integration strategies are needed to

develop active trade routes and to expand market access for landlocked

countries. Small economies such as Burundi and Rwanda face tremendous

constraints in trying to trade internationally due to the weak road and rail

infrastructure in Eastern Africa. Internal infrastructure investments in Burundi

and Rwanda will yield limited returns if not accompanied by similar invest-

ments in Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda. Similarly, infrastructure integration

requires investments in building and maintaining efficient maritime ports to

serve entire regions.

Third, and closely linked to the previous point, regional integration

strategies need to focus on administrative coordination. Members of COMESA

and SADC have made significant advances in this regard, but many other

regions still require investments to standardize border procedures and reduce

49

M. L. Faye et al.

Table 5. Dimensions of landlockedness

Measure of

Normalized measures of trade distance Normalized measures of infrastructure quality

Proportion of TCs proportion of

Freight costs Export volume Distance to port paved roads paved roads Paved road quality TCs paved road

Country (index) (index) (km) (index) (index) (index) quality (index)

Afghanistan 0.38 —1960 ———0.01

Armenia 0.51 0.08 693 —0.36 ——

Azerbaijan 0.92 0.15 870 ————

Bhutan —— 775 ————

Bolivia 0.64 0.16 414 0.07 0.22 0.44 0.16

Botswana 0.75 1.00 905 1.00 1.00 1.00 —

Burkina Faso 0.54 0.01 1154 0.41 0.68 0.48 0.12

Burundi 0.47 0.00 1254 0.37 0.16 0.72 0.49

Central African Republic 0.55 0.03 1518 0.01 0.00 0.53 0.27

Chad 0.08 0.02 1669 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27

Ethipia 0.50 0.00 781 0.33 0.36 0.69 0.74

Kazakhstan 0.96 0.47 3750 —0.61 —0.07

Kyrgyzstan 0.81 0.10 3600 —0.61 —0.07

Laos 0.89 0.07 620 —0.63 —0.61

Lesotho 0.81 0.10 575 0.36 1.00 0.72 —

Malawi 0.00 0.03 803 0.40 0.21 0.76 0.34

Mali 0.38 0.04 1225 0.36 0.41 0.81 0.47

Moldova 0.86 0.15 170 ———1.00

Mongolia 0.75 0.22 1693 0.45 0.61 —0.07

Nepal 0.95 0.04 1160 0.95 —0.58 0.00

Niger 0.52 0.02 1057 0.52 0.84 0.73 0.37

Paraguay 0.73 0.34 1022 —0.30 0.87 0.16

Rwanda 0.08 0.00 1867 0.11 0.26 0.62 0.23

50

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

Table 5. Continued

Measure of

Normalized measures of trade distance Normalized measures of infrastructure quality

Proportion of TCs proportion of

Freight costs Export volume Distance to port paved roads paved roads Paved road quality TCs paved road

Country (index) (index) (km) (index) (index) (index) quality (index)

Swaziland 1.00 0.89 193 0.65 0.51 0.52 0.19

Tajikistan —0.09 3100 —0.61 —0.07

Turkmenistan 0.77 0.27 1700 ————

Uganda 0.39 0.02 1187 0.34 0.16 0.40 0.47

Uzbekistan —0.12 2950 ————

Zambia 0.72 0.07 1975 0.40 0.47 0.55 0.91

Zimbabwe 0.76 0.20 464 0.36 0.72 0.86 0.82

Freight costs: (TransportationòInsurance Costs)/Exports of Goods & Services.

Export volume: Exports of goods and services (mean over 1997–2000) (1995 USD)

Proportion of paved roads: Paved roads (km)/Total roads (km)

TC’s proportion of paved roads: Simple average of transit neighbours’proportion of paved roads.

Paved road quality: ó1ñ(proportion low quality)ñ0.5*(proportion fair quality).

TCs paved road quality:ó1ñ(proportion low quality)ñ0.5*(proportion fair quality).

Sources: Transport & insurance data from IMF BOPS (2001); Exports data from WDI (2002); Roads data

from Camming (World Bank) (1998).

Source: Trade data: International Monetary Fund (2001), World Development Indicators (2002); Distance

data: various; Infrastructure data: Canning (World Bank) (2002), Conflict Data: International Peace

Research Institute (2002).

Note: TCóTransit Country; –indicates no data available.

51

M. L. Faye et al.

transport costs incurred due to time inefficiencies. Many countries could

still benefit from such administrative streamlining, as well as real guarantees

for landlocked countries’permanent access to transit routes.

Fourth, landlocked countries need to invest, where possible, in develop-

ing industries less affected by transport costs. This includes shifting away

from primary commodities, which are subject to major price fluctuations

and low value to weight ratios, toward those with higher value or lower

transport costs relative to value of goods. Strategies could include the

development of service industries or the development of manufacturing

sectors for export.

In order to invest in all four of the areas outlined, official development

assistance to developing countries should give special attention to the unique

needs of those that are landlocked. In particular, official development

assistance strategies should recognize low-income landlocked countries’large

infrastructure needs and the requirement for increases in direct assistance

to support large-scale investments in roads and railways. Such investments

need to include not only the up-front improvements of the transport

infrastructure, but also operations and maintenance. Since the landlocked

developing countries typically suffer from a general lack of resources and

under-funded social sectors due to their inherent structural barriers in trading

with the international economy, they will typically require even greater

external resource support than their low-income maritime neighbours, which

also need to be a priority for official development assistance flows.

Conclusion

This paper has presented a simple descriptive framework of the challenges

facing landlocked developing countries. For the most part, these countries

have lower levels of human development and external trade compared

with their maritime neighbours. In explaining the reasons for these lower

outcomes on average, we stressed the nature of dependence on transit

neighbours for trade and how this dependence can fall under four categories:

dependence on infrastructure, dependence on sound political relations,

dependence on neighbours’peace and stability, and dependence on adminis-

trative practices. These factors yield a different set of challenges and priorities

for each landlocked country. Policies focusing on mitigating the effects of

landlockedness need to address country-specific obstacles to accessing global

markets and region-specific challenges to market integration.

Acknowledgements

The authors thank Malanding Jaiteh at the Center for International Geo-

graphic Information Systems Earth Science Information Networks at Colum-

bia University for invaluable GIS data analysis and map construction. They

also thank Nun

˜o Limao and Anthony Venables for the use of their freight

quote data, Michael Salter for research assistance, Chandrika Bahadur, Naheed

52

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

Nenshi, Guido Schmidt-Traub, and numerous United Nations Development

Programme country team staff for their valuable comments. All errors are

the authors’own. Please send any suggestions or corrections to M. Faye.

Notes

1 The European landlocked countries consist of Austria, Andorra, Belarus, Czech Republic,

Holy See, Hungary, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, San Marino, Slovakia, Macedonia, Moldova

and Switzerland. Moldova is the only European landlocked country with a HDI score of

less than 0.76.

2 We exclude high HDI landlocked countries from our analysis, all of which are situated in

Europe.

3 We recognize that some of the regional groupings in this paper are atypical. They were

defined based on the most sensible grouping for assessing regional issues of landlock-

edness. Thus, for instance, we include a very large range of countries in our category of

Eastern Europe and Central Asia.

4 Botswana would count as another exceptional success but export data for the country are

not included in International Monetary Fund (2002).

5 This article states that: ‘The terms and modalities for exercising freedom of transit shall

be agreed between the land-locked States and transit States concerned through bilateral,

sub regional or regional agreements’. Furthermore, ‘Transit States, in the exercise of their

full sovereignty over their territory, shall have the right to take all measures necessary to

ensure that the rights and facilities provided for in this Part for land-locked States shall in

no way infringe their legitimate interests’.

6 Transit through China is effectively impossible due to the Himalayan Ranges.

7 Some of the transit and customs charges include transit goods licenses, border fees,

temporary road licenses, foreign vehicle permits, toll charges, foreign commercial licenses,

cost of customs verification of containers, posting of security bonds, involvement with

police and escort convoys and cancellation of bonds. The cost of bribes needed en route,

while considered to be significant, is beyond the scope of this report.

8 Although somewhat dated, these are the most recent figures we were able to identify.

9 Ibid.

10 Vehicles waiting for a convoy to form wait on the side of the road, not only hindering

normal road traffic, but also contributing to road damage.

11 Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan are involved in a border dispute, Tajikistan has been in a civil

war and claims Uzbekistan is abusing its border closure powers for political purposes,

and Kazakhstan fears the Islamic threat of militant Islam and terrorism from Tajikistan.

Kyrgyzstan is reacting to the incursion of Tajik rebels (Dion, 2000).

12 The only two countries not to have been involved in a significant civil conflict are

Cameroon and Benin. Cameroon is characterized by very poor levels of infrastructure —

unpaved roads susceptible to flooding form much of the transit route from Chad and the

Central African Republic through Cameroon. Benin’s port at Cotonou is considered to be

one of the least well equipped in the region.

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Russian Federation and the Korean Peninsula, ST/ESCAP/2173, United Nations Economic

and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific.

United Nations (1982) United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), 10

December 1982.

United Nations Development Programme (2002) Human Development Report, United Nations

Development Programme, New York.

United Nations Development Programme (2003) Human Development Report, United Nations

Development Programme, New York.

United Nations General Assembly (2000) Transit Environment in the Landlocked States in

Central Asia and Their Transit Developing,A/55/150 Neighbours, United Nations,

New York.

World Development Indicators (2002) World Development Indicators, World Bank, Wash-

ington, DC.

World Bank (1995) ‘Staff appraisal report: the Republic of Malawi railways restructuring

project’, Report No. 13491-MAI, World Bank, Washington, DC.

World Bank (2001) ‘Azerbaijan: World Bank supports silk route revival’, News Release No.

2001/17/ECA, World Bank, Washington, DC.

Appendix: regional overviews

This paper has outlined the need to consider geographic, political and

administrative dimensions in order to understand the nature of a country’s

challenges due to landlockedness. In this appendix, we present a brief

description of the main aspects of landlockedness faced by countries in each

region. We also include reference maps, by region, of the landlocked

developing countries, with emphasis on the main transit routes.

Africa —Southern

As indicated in Table 2, the landlocked southern African countries of Bots-

wana, Lesotho, Malawi, Swaziland, Zambia, and Zimbabwe have a higher aver-

age level of human development than their maritime neighbours. This is

unique among our sample of landlocked developing countries and has been

partially driven by the persistent civil conflict in Angola and Mozambique. It

also reflects the landlocked countries’relatively high degree of regional transit

integration, strong domestic infrastructure, relative domestic stability (with

clear exceptions; for instance, in Zimbabwe) andthe exceptional performance

of Botswana with its significant and carefully managed diamond resources.

Internal transport networks in the southern African landlocked countries

generally surpass those of their war-torn neighbours Angola and Mozambique.

Unlike the landlocked countries of, say, eastern Africa, the southern African

countries have several routing options available to them, including the well-

developed South African corridors.

Yet, despite these relatively high infrastructure levels, significant regional

55

M. L. Faye et al.

MAP A1. Transit routes of Southern Africa

transport connections remain imperfect. The Interconnected Regional Rail

Network, for example, does not reach the Mozambique port of Nacala or

any of the Angolan ports.

The landlocked countries of southern Africa also benefit from relatively

strong relations with their maritime neighbours and ongoing efforts to

promote regional cooperation. While most of southern Africa’s exports are

sold to the European Union, serious efforts are underway to promote intra-

regional trade through SADC, South African Customs Union and COMESA.

Through these organizations, countries are working to upgrade regional

transportation networks. For example, the SADC has instituted the Southern

African Transport and Communications Commission to integrate transport

policy, freedom of transit, and regional infrastructure. COMESA has created

the Yellow Card initiative, which guarantees third-party insurance across

signatory states, removing the need to acquire additional insurance coverage

for each country. Other important agreements include: (1) the legally binding

SADC Protocol on Transport, Communications and Meteorology, which

incorporates the SADC Regional Trunk Route Network; (2) the SADC Protocol

on Trade; (3) bilateral agreements including Corridor Planning Committees;

(4) the COMESA Carriers license; (5) the SADC driver’s license; and (6) the

Spatial Development Initiatives.

Amidst these commitments to promoting integration and harmonization,

problems of implementation and issues of national sovereignty have hindered

56

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

progress in some instances. For example, while Zambia and Zimbabwe both

agreed to the COMESA free-trade zone, Zambia recently banned fourteen

Zimbabwean products (Southern African Development Community, 2003)

Moreover, border delays continue to be a significant problem. It is

estimated that delays at the major border posts in the SADC region have cost

US$48 million annually and often exceed 24 hours (InfraAfrica, 2001).

Reflecting these challenges, the overall cost of freight and insurance for the

SADC landlocked counties (14.8% of export values) is still higher than that

for Angola and Mozambique (8.9% of exports) (International Monetary Fund,

2001).

The landlocked countries of southern Africa, with the exception of

Zimbabwe, have benefited from relative domestic stability. Civil conflicts in

the maritime transit neighbours Angola and Mozambique, however, have led

to a direct increase in trade costs and have limited potential transit options.

During Mozambique’s civil war, for example, Malawi was forced to reroute

its trade. While this vital corridor has been reopened, infrastructural damage

has thus far limited its use.

Africa —Eastern

Burundi, Rwanda, and Uganda The landlocked countries of eastern Africa,

Uganda, Rwanda, and Burundi, are intimately linked by the region’s‘umbilical

cord’, the Northern transit corridor from Kenya through Uganda and Rwanda

to Burundi that serves as a primary transit route for all three countries. The

Central corridor to the port of Dar es Salaam provides an alternate route to

the Indian Ocean. The exclusive dependence on these corridors, and primarily

the Northern Corridor, by Uganda, Rwanda, and Burundi makes this region

particularly interesting in the study of landlocked countries. Although a

central message of this paper is that distance to port is just one component of

landlockedness, in this region distance inland is a useful summary measure

since infrastructural and political challenges faced in transit are cumulative.

Those faced by Uganda or Rwanda will most likely be faced by Burundi as

well. Export to GDP ratios reflect the progression of challenges countries face

along the Northern Corridor: for Burundi, 6%; for Rwanda, 9%; for Uganda,

12%; and for Kenya, 26% (United Nations Development Programme, 2003).

Recent civil wars and regional tensions have highlighted the inter-

connectedness of these countries and have severely weakened their transit

systems. Rwanda’s recent brutal civil war, for example, rendered the country’s

infrastructure virtually impassable not only for Rwandan transit, but for

Burundian transit as well. Similarly, tensions between Uganda and Rwanda

over the ongoing conflict in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and the

corresponding increased vulnerability of the border, have not only hindered

Rwanda–Uganda trade, but also Burundian trade.

Such political tensions have traditionally hindered efforts at regional mar-

ket integration. Recent improvements in the political situation, however, have

been accompanied by renewed efforts at such integration. The East African

Community (EAC), comprising Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda, was reintroduced

57

M. L. Faye et al.

MAP A2. Transit routes of Burundi, Rwanda, and Uganda

in 2001 to foster regional cooperation, placing an early emphasis on develop-

ing primary transit corridors. Burundi and Rwanda have thus far not been

invited to join the EAC. The recent formation of COMESA, the successor organ-

ization to the regional Preferential Trading Area, has meanwhile been accom-

panied by implementation difficulties. In fact, Tanzania has withdrawn from

the organization to focus on its membership in the SADC.

In addition to problems of distance, civil conflict and cross-border

tensions, the east African landlocked countries face the additional challenge

of being surrounded by worse transport infrastructure than their domestic

systems. Unlike other focus regions such as southern Africa, the east African

maritime transit countries (Kenya and Tanzania) are plagued by poor trans-

port infrastructure, not owing to war, but rather inadequate investment and

maintenance. The section of the primary Northern Corridor road passing

through Kenya is in such poor state that a heavily-laden truck is estimated

to take 3 days to travel the 500 km from Mombasa to Nairobi (Pod, 1998).

Traversing such poor infrastructure is complicated by regional geographic

conditions, which include a severe rainy season often responsible for flooding

the main corridors.

The absence of functioning rail corridors has presented further chal-

lenges. Burundi and Rwanda have no rail systems, and Uganda’s railways

have fallen into a serious state of disrepair. The absence of a reliable rail

corridor not only limits the competition faced by the road sector, but also

places an increased burden on its physical structure and leads to quicker

deterioration. A reliable rail corridor extending from Mombasa through

58

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

MAP A3. Transit routes of Ethiopia.

Uganda and Rwanda to Burundi would significantly reduce the cost of trade

for these landlocked countries.

Ethiopia The final landlocked country in this region, Ethiopia, does not use

this Northern corridor and faces a distinct set of challenges from the other

eastern Africa landlocked countries. Once a maritime country, Ethiopia now

faces difficult political challenges in accessing the sea. After losing its coastline

to Eritrea in 1991, Ethiopia continued to depend on the Eritrean port of Assab

for its international trade. The recent border conflict with Eritrea, which

began in 1998 and led to border closures, dramatically reduced the viability

of this port. This has resulted in a major shift of trading routes used by

Ethiopia from Assab to the port of Djibouti, which now handles the large

majority of Ethiopian trade. The Djibouti corridor, however, is hampered by

both an unreliable and poorly functioning railroad and limited port facilities.

Ethiopia’s other potential transit corridor, through Somalia, is not used due

to tense political relations, extremely poor infrastructure and the Somali civil

war. In addition to these political challenges, Ethiopia is challenged by a weak

rail system and an inadequate internal transportation network.

Africa —Western

Among the landlocked countries of the world, those of western Africa have

the lowest levels of human development both on average and in relation to

59

M. L. Faye et al.

their maritime neighbours. These countries have suffered from widespread

internal strife and surrounding civil wars that have rendered most transit

corridors impassable at least once over the past decade. Of the eight transit

countries in the region, six have been involved in at least one civil conflict

severe enough to have blocked transit trade in the past 10 years.

10

MAP A4. Transit routes of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger.

Because many of the landlocked countries of this region depend on a

small number of transit corridors, such civil conflicts have had severe effects

on trade. Burkina Faso, for example, has been forced to redirect a significant

portion of its transit trade twice in the past decade. In 1990–1993, as a result

of the crisis in Togo, the volume of Burkina Faso’s transit trade through the

port of Lome

´fell. Similarly, the crises in Co

ˆte d’Ivoire (previously the transit

route for more than 80% of Burkinabe trade) have significantly restricted

transit movement, causing Burkina Faso to attempt to open up a new route

to the Gulf of Guinea in Ghana (Organisation for Economic Co-operation

and Development/African Development Bank, 2002). These conflicts not

only impose significant direct costs through the need to use alternative

ports, but also hinder long-term foreign investment because of the associated

uncertainty.

Civil conflicts in western Africa have been closely linked to tense

regional relations. During the recent political crisis in the DRC, for example,

the DRC closed its border with the Central African Republic (CAR) to prevent

the cross-border flow of arms and limit the CAR’s involvement in the war.

The DRC had previously not only provided one of CAR’s major transit routes

(the Oubangui River), but had also been one of the CAR’s major export

destinations in Africa (International Monetary Fund, 2002).

Attempts to ease such transit challenges through regional integration

60

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

MAP A5. Transit routes of Central African Republic and Chad.

have thus far been unsuccessful, largely because of the continuing political

instability. Reflecting such instability, severe corruption and bureaucratic

inefficiencies persist. As a result of these bureaucratic hindrances, the trip

from Doala, Cameroon to Bangui, CAR is reported to take 3 weeks to 1

month. Border customs procedures themselves can take as long as 2 weeks.

The political challenges of this region are exacerbated by the extremely

poor transport infrastructure, both in the landlocked countries and their

transit neighbours. Contributing to such poor infrastructure are the difficult

geographic conditions particularly the heavy rainy seasons. These rains can

often leave the main roads flooded for months at a time and have devastating

effects on the rural feeder roads. Prolonged dry seasons, on the other hand,

often render the region’s rivers impassable. In the case of the Central African

Republic, one of the two primary transit corridors is impassable during the

wet season and the other, the Oubangui River, is impassable during the dry

season. Consequently, the Central African Republic does not have a depend-

able all weather transport corridor to the coast. The rainy season has

particularly acute effects for the large countries Niger, Mali and Chad, where

access to significant areas of land is often limited for much of the year.

Asia —Central

As part of the Soviet Union, the Eastern European and Central Asian republics

were integrated into the centralized Soviet command economy. Their role in

61

M. L. Faye et al.

this system was primarily to provide natural resources (in particular, petro-

leum and metals) and agricultural products (namely, cotton and grain) to the

processing industries and principal markets located in today’s Russia and

Ukraine. Accordingly, transport corridors were developed during the Soviet

era mainly to connect the individual republics with Russia and Ukraine, rather

than with their neighbours. As a result of this, the Eastern European and

Central Asian landlocked countries face three main transit problems in the

aftermath of the collapse of the Soviet Union. First, such corridors were built

well before today’s international borders were drawn. Important domestic

transport arteries now often pass through neighbouring countries, which can

result in long delays and additional costs. Some countries are now building

costly alternative routes to mitigate this problem. Second, connections

through China, Iran, and Afghanistan are limited and poorly developed. The

consequent dependence on Russian and Ukrainian transport links is said to

be used by Russia and Ukraine for political leverage, seriously constraining

landlocked countries’ability to increase their oil and gas exports. Third, the

Soviet command economy’s allocation of specific economic roles to each

region led to poor diversification of exports for a number of these countries.

MAP A6. Transit routes of Eastern Europe and Central Asia.

While the Soviet Union initially invested heavily in this infrastructure,

much of it has recently fallen into a state of decline. These transport

challenges are aggravated by the remoteness of many of the landlocked

countries: several of the former Soviet states are over 3000 km from the

nearest port.

Ongoing regional tensions further hinder trade routes. Poorly defined

borders that may not reflect ethnic or political differences can fuel domestic

62

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

MAP A7. Transit routes of Moldova.

MAP A8. Transit routes of Mongolia.

63

M. L. Faye et al.

and regional crises. Such tensions have precluded any regional cooperation

and have contributed to severe corruption. Problems of international

cooperation have limited the potential of this region to serve as a regional

crossroads.

Although Moldova is geographically removed from the former Soviet

economies of Central Asia, it faces similar issues. It is only 170 km from the

Black Sea —the shortest transport distance of all landlocked countries in

our study —but also struggles with domestic and external tensions. Not

only is Moldova caught in the middle of political tensions between Romania

and the Ukraine, but, with the eastern part of the country controlled by

ethnic Russians and Ukrainians, and the west by ethnic Rumanians, Moldova

also suffers from internal tensions regarding the separatist Transdniestr

region. Moldova’s infrastructure is furthermore still based on the former

Soviet networks to Russia, thereby limiting other trade routes.

Unlike Moldova and the former Soviet republics, Mongolia does not face

severe ethnic and cross-border tensions. It does, however, share the challenge

of remoteness with the capital city, Ulaanbaatar, lying nearly 1700 km from

the nearest port. Mongolia also still grapples with its extremely low popula-

tion density —the second lowest of all countries in our study —which

further complicates transport. The country has only one main highway and

relies primarily on rail for shipping. Railway infrastructure is in fair condition

but problematic for trading with neighbouring China, the world’s fastest

growing economy, since the two countries use different rail gauges and

shipments need to be unloaded and reloaded at Zamyn Uud.

South Caucasus

The location of the South Caucasus landlocked countries, Armenia and

Azerbaijan, at the bridge of the traditional east–west Silk Route connecting

East Asia to Europe, holds large potential benefits for both countries. The

planned revival of the Silk Route as a network of major transport corridors

could potentially help these countries become vital transit links between

East and West. Yet, in their current state, both Armenia and Azerbaijan suffer

extensively as landlocked countries. Regional tensions, including boundary

disputes over the Caspian Sea, ethnic disputes and steadfast Russian alliances,

have hindered any serious attempts at regional integration. In fact, the

dispute between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the Nagorno Karabakh region,

a principal cause of the regional tensions, has resulted in the closure of both

the Armenia–-Azerbaijan and Armenia–Turkey borders.

Armenia and Azerbaijan have also suffered from surrounding civil con-

flicts that have limited the use of potential corridors. The Georgian civil war

began in 1992, hindering the use of the Georgian corridor and resulting in

severely dilapidated infrastructure on the route. Similarly, the Chechen war

has limited trade to the north and weakened Azerbaijan’s relations with

Russia.

Reflecting the weak political institutions of the region, corruption is

reported to be widespread and has become a serious concern for Armenia

64

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

MAP A9. Transit routes of the South Caucasus.

and Azerbaijan. Needing to transport their goods across international borders

where bribe paying is particularly persistent, these landlocked economies

suffer two-fold from internal corruption and from the corruption of their

neighbours.

Further complicating the situation, the ongoing conflicts and political

instability of the region have left the transport infrastructure in a severe state

of dilapidation. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development

estimated that nearly 40% of Armenian roads were in need of immediate

repair in 1998, while 56% of Azerbaijan’s main road network has been

described as being in a poor state of repair (Synowitz, 1998; World Bank,

2001). The infrastructure in neighbouring Georgia is alleged to be in even

worse condition. Significant investment is required to restore the regional

transit system.

Asia —South & South-East

With the exception of western Africa, the south and southeast Asian land-

locked countries of Nepal, Bhutan and Laos are performing worse relative

to their neighbours in human development than the landlocked countries of

any other region. Yet, the region is the only one where the landlocked

countries have a lower ratio of transportation and insurance costs to value

of exports than their maritime neighbours. This discrepancy seems to be

65

M. L. Faye et al.

accounted for by the fact that all three of these countries trade predominantly

with their immediate neighbours. For both Bhutan and Nepal, India is the

main trading partner, while for Laos it is Thailand and Viet Nam.

MAP A10. Transit routes of Bhutan and Nepal.

The minimal transoceanic trade of these countries appears to result

from the limited number of transit corridors. With the exception of Lesotho,

the countries of Nepal and Bhutan are unique in the fact that they have only

one transit neighbour, India. This implies complete dependence on India for

access to the coast, giving India enormous negotiating power. Interestingly,

each has a very different political relationship with India. Bhutan has enjoyed

a very close working relationship with its southern neighbour, and as a result

has been granted liberal access to transit. In fact, India allows Bhutanese

transit trade to be conducted under the supervision of Bhutanese customs,

yielding little administrative hassle. In contrast, Nepal’s relations with India

have frequently been strained, with India often seen to have more influence

in the negotiation of treaties and disputes.

Relatively poor domestic infrastructure has further complicated transit

for the south and southeastern Asian landlocked countries and has precluded

them from taking full advantage of the better surrounding infrastructure.

Transit trade entering Laos on the Thai rail system, for example, must

currently be unloaded and placed on trucks since Laos has not yet developed

a rail system.

South America

Both South American landlocked countries, Bolivia and Paraguay, suffer from

poor domestic infrastructure, and unlike most African landlocked countries

66

Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries

MAP A11. Transit routes of Laos.

are surrounded by relatively extensive and well-maintained transport cor-

ridors. The poor state of maintenance and operation of domestic corridors,

however, have prevented these countries from benefiting from such strong

external transit corridors. Paraguay’s railroad, for example, links to the

railways of Argentina, Uruguay and Brazil, and could serve a primary role in

international transport, but has fallen into a state of disuse.

Bolivia and Paraguay also both face political challenges to transit trade.

While not subject to the same level of domestic or surrounding strife of the

countries of Africa, nor the frequent border closures of Eastern Europe and

Central Asia, the South American landlocked countries have suffered from

political tensions with their transit neighbours. Most recently, for example,

an ambitious Bolivian plan that could double exports by exporting natural

gas via Chilean ports has been delayed by ongoing domestic protest in

Bolivia against the use of Chilean corridors. Such protest is largely a product

of the ongoing and century-old tensions between the two countries, which

originated in the war of 1878–1883 when Bolivia lost control of the coastal

province of Atacama.

On the positive side, Bolivia and Paraguay also have similar opportunities:

both are advantageously located in the heart of South America, potentially

allowing them to serve as the South American trade cross-roads, between

MERCOSUR and the Andean Community. This central location could allow

them to serve as regional hubs for new technologies less dependent on

transport costs, such as telecommunications. Bolivia and Paraguay also hold

the potential to be major regional energy hubs since they both possess

67

M. L. Faye et al.

MAP A12. Transit routes of South America.

significant reserves. Bolivia recently discovered expansive reserves of natural

gas and oil, and Paraguay has the potential to be a major exporter of

hydroelectric power. Since these sectors are not primarily dependent on

road and rail infrastructure, it will be possible to develop and benefit

from them even before domestic transport infrastructure is improved to a

significantly higher lev

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